You are betting against something like the chance of there being a Satoshi Nakamoto who is not involved in writing bitcoin, but may have done something else using bitcoin that makes him not want to talk to the press enough to spook a newsweek reporter.
I don't think I know enough either way to make a good bet and I'm not sure that reporter does either.
I don't think I know enough either way to make a good bet and I'm not sure that reporter does either.